Polymarket bets on Xiaomi over Moonshot in China AI race

Moonshot AI released Kimi K3.1 Pro, which nearly matches Claude Opus 5.5 on coding benchmarks at $2 per million input tokens. Yet Polymarket's "Best Chinese AI Company" market has Xiaomi at 76% versus Moonshot at 15%, with over $350,000 in volume.

• Kimi K3.1 Pro scores 65.7% on Terminal-Bench 4.0 vs 66.4% for Claude Opus 5.5
• Kimi K3.1 Pro is priced at $2 per million input tokens
• Polymarket: Xiaomi 76%, Moonshot 15%, over $350,000 in volume
• Kimi K3.1 Pro open weights are promised for November 4