Forrester: AI to take a fifth of tech budgets in 2027

Forrester predicts AI will account for 20% of all business technology spend in 2027, yet more than half of CIOs are likely to miss their AI ROI targets. Only 22% of AI decision-makers reported a positive impact on EBITDA over the past 12 months. Open-weight models like Gemma, Llama and Qwen will handle half of AI tokens but just 5% of enterprise spend.

• AI to reach 20% of business tech spend in 2027
• 45% of AI decision-makers need ROI within a year
• Only 22% saw positive EBITDA impact from AI in 12 months
• Open-weight models: 50% of tokens, 5% of spend